Business Cycle Synchronization through the Lens of a DSGE Model

Varování

Publikace nespadá pod Fakultu sportovních studií, ale pod Ekonomicko-správní fakultu. Oficiální stránka publikace je na webu muni.cz.
Autoři

SLANICAY Martin

Rok publikování 2013
Druh Článek v odborném periodiku
Časopis / Zdroj Finance a úvěr - Czech Journal of Economics and Finance
Fakulta / Pracoviště MU

Ekonomicko-správní fakulta

Citace
www http://journal.fsv.cuni.cz/mag/article/show/id/1272
Obor Ekonomie
Klíčová slova DSGE model; Bayesian estimation; shock decomposition; business cycle synchronization
Popis The goal of this paper is to examine business cycle synchronization between the Czech economy and the euro area via a fully specified DSGE model. Using a two-country DSGE model I decompose the observed variables into the contributions of structural shocks and then compute conditional correlations. I also examine how these correlations evolve over time. The results indicate that productivity shocks in the tradable sector are the driving forces of different business cycle behavior, while investment efficiency shocks contribute to symmetric behavior of the two economies. The impact of shocks is most symmetric in the case of investment, output, and interest rates; the impact of shocks on these variables is highly correlated. There seems to be convergence of business cycles in the case of consumption, investment, and output, as the overall impact of shocks on these variables is getting more and more symmetric over time.
Související projekty:

Používáte starou verzi internetového prohlížeče. Doporučujeme aktualizovat Váš prohlížeč na nejnovější verzi.

Další info